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Bridge over troubled baltic water

In order to control the specifics of supplies, the European Commission initially tried to obtain a mandate from EU countries for negotiations with Russia on the conditions for building the gas pipeline – but without success. According to EU legislation, these decisions remain with member countries and Brussels only has a consultative voice in this […]

SAGGING SHELF: Future of Gas Extraction from Romanian Shelf Uncertain

Earlier this year the US energy major Exxon Mobil officially announced its intention to sell its 50% share in the Neptun Deep offshore project located on the Romanian Black Sea shelf. Although rumours of a sale had circulated since November 2019, no serious buyer has yet come forward. And here is why. Export issue still […]

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SOARING GAS PRICES: WHO IS TO BLAME?

Spot prices for gas in Europe reached a historical high on 21 December 2021, exceeding $2,000 per thousand cubic metres of gas for the first time. By the end of January 2022, the price of gas had experienced a double downward correction. The situation in the European gas market remains complex however. According to Emily […]

Recent Posts

The future of Europe’s e-vehicles depends on Serbia

With the acceleration of a project to mine lithium – a key metal for electric mobility – in its Jadar region, the small Balkan country of Serbia has been given a chance to become a key player in the European, and also the global economy. At the same time, rarely has any project caused such a powerful public backlash: news of new protests and comments from experts and politicians are appearing in the world media on an almost daily basis. Will Serbia be able to overcome public hostility and move towards becoming a major lithium powerhouse?

RUSSIA-UKRAINE GAS DEAL – TO BE OR NOT TO BE

At the beginning of this year, it became known that Ukraine would not renew its contract with Russia for the transit of Russian gas to Europe. This contract, which expires on 31 December 2024, covers the transportation of 225 billion cubic metres of fuel over five years. Most of the Russian gas flowing to Europe was channelled through this pipeline. However, Kyiv has now made it clear that it has no intention of providing Moscow with transit capacity. While Europe was quick to express verbal support for this decision, Russia still anticipates the possibility of an extension to the agreement.

US GAS FOR GERMANY – A WIN-WIN FOR BOTH SIDES?

American LNG was a real salvation for Germany after the European Union decided to reduce its purchases of Russian gas to the maximum extent possible after the start of the conflict in Ukraine and to completely abandon it by 2027. Of all European countries, Germany, the main buyer of energy from Russia for many years, has seen the most significant reduction. If earlier Berlin’s dependence on Russian gas reached 55% of Germany’s total energy imports, a year ago the share of this gas in German imports had dropped to 20%. Therefore, American gas, which replaced Russian gas, turned out to be a real salvation for European economies – and especially for the German economy.

IS NUCLEAR ENERGY A NEW LIFESAVER – AGAIN?

It looks like nuclear energy globally is experiencing a genuine renaissance, particularly in Europe. However, the huge costs and complexity of building new nuclear power stations prevent nuclear energy being a quick fix for all the problems of Western countries.  Moreover, without Russia it is simply not possible.

US TANKERS THROW EUROPE A LIFELINE

With the start of the war in Ukraine in 2022, the EU began to steadily reduce purchases of energy from Russia, particularly gas, intending to end gas imports from Russia completely by 2027.  As at the end of June 2023, Russia’s share of EU gas imports had decreased from 38.5% to 12.9% compared to the same period in 2021.

THE ARCTIC: IS THERE SPACE FOR COOPERATION?

On February 14th 2024, Russia announced that it was suspending its annual payments to the Arctic Council, the main international cooperation platform for the Arctic states, which includes eight member countries, six permanent participants representing indigenous peoples, and 38 observers.
The move confirmed…

GREEN DEAL REQUIRES AN UPDATE

Turbulence in politics and the global economy is aggravating the rough edges of the Green Deal, which as well as being a heavy burden for the industries and energy sectors of individual member states could also become an open route to power for far-right political forces

Few doubt the fact that the EU’s brand colour is green.  At the end…

A Spotless Strategy: the EU’s Return to Long-term Gas Contracts

The energy crisis and inflated gas prices in Europe have laid bare an obvious contradiction in the EU’s previous energy policies and their orientation on spot trade. Not long ago, long-term gas contracts – and not only those linked to Russia – were regarded by the Europeans as a form of bondage, which would not only increase the EU’s dependence on individual suppliers, …

FRIENDS AGAIN: CAN GERMANY RESTART COOPERATION WITH RUSSIA ON ENERGY?

Contradictions continue to tear apart Germany’s ruling coalition. There is no agreement on either domestic or foreign policy between Olaf Scholz’s party, the Greens, and the Free Democratic Party.   The media is pouring oil on the fire, pointing out the cabinet’s wavering and even opportunism in the form of inappropriate budget expenditure and a €60-billion hole that has developed as a result.

Trick or treat: Ukraine intends to stop Russian gas transit for good

After the damage to the Nord Stream pipelines and a significant reduction in supplies of gas from Russia, including a complete cessation of supplies via the Yamal–Europe pipeline, the transit of Russian gas through Ukraine’s territory has remained one of the last routes for supplying the EU with gas, although it has decreased to a third of its pre-war level…

PITFALLS FOR KAZAKH OIL ON ITS WAY TO BERLIN 

 As an outcome of high-level talks in Berlin at the end of September involving German chancellor Olaf Scholz and Kazakh president Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, Kazakhstan is increasing oil supplies to Germany on a long-term basis – by around 2 million tonnes annually, and possibly even more in the future….