The energy landscape in Europe is undergoing a profound transformation. The European Union is striving to meet ambitious climate goals, but in the meantime the region’s reliance on cleaner fossil fuels such as liquefied natural gas (LNG) is expected to increase significantly. This article explores the complex dynamics at play, focusing on the intersection of the EU’s green agenda, growing demand for LNG, and the geopolitical challenges that shape Europe’s energy security. 

The energy debate in Germany has taken on a new urgency as the far-right party Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) surges in the polls, challenging the country’s green energy transition. Known for its strong opposition to the Green Party’s and the government’s climate policies, the AfD has managed to sharpen its political profile, capitalizing on growing public concerns over the economic and social costs of Germany’s ambitious energy goals.

The Trans-Caspian gas pipeline (TCP), which Turkmenistan is interested in building –despite it remaining unimplemented for decades – has recently received a new impetus for development. This at least is the cautious conclusion that can be drawn after talks held in Ankara between Turkmenistan and Turkey in April this year at which the parties signed a memorandum of understanding on strengthening cooperation in the gas sector. The talks particularly focused on reviving the TCP.

With the acceleration of a project to mine lithium – a key metal for electric mobility – in its Jadar region, the small Balkan country of Serbia has been given a chance to become a key player in the European, and also the global economy. At the same time, rarely has any project caused such a powerful public backlash: news of new protests and comments from experts and politicians are appearing in the world media on an almost daily basis. Will Serbia be able to overcome public hostility and move towards becoming a major lithium powerhouse?

At the beginning of this year, it became known that Ukraine would not renew its contract with Russia for the transit of Russian gas to Europe. This contract, which expires on 31 December 2024, covers the transportation of 225 billion cubic metres of fuel over five years. Most of the Russian gas flowing to Europe was channelled through this pipeline. However, Kyiv has now made it clear that it has no intention of providing Moscow with transit capacity. While Europe was quick to express verbal support for this decision, Russia still anticipates the possibility of an extension to the agreement.